Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026?
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 100% |
| 7 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 92% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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