AMD Market Value Tops $1 Trillion as Chip Stocks Soar
The chipmaker joins Nvidia and others in the trillion-dollar club, driven by optimism for artificial intelligence hardware.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 6 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 00:32 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 13:51 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 76% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 20:07 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 05:16 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 13:07 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 79% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Sept, 17:30 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 10:31 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 09:46 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 72% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 74% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Sept, 02:19 UTC | 72% |
| 17 Sept, 23:03 UTC | 72% |
| 17 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 72% |
| 17 Sept, 21:18 UTC | 72% |
| 17 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 69% |
| 17 Sept, 03:31 UTC | 69% |
| 17 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Sept, 00:58 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Sept, 00:18 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 21:19 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 17:01 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Sept, 09:54 UTC | 69% |
| 16 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 68% |
| 16 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 69% |
| 16 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 68% |
| 15 Sept, 07:13 UTC | 69% |
| 15 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 68% |
| 15 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 68% |
| 15 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 68% |
| 14 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Sept, 00:00 UTC | 73% |
| 13 Sept, 20:33 UTC | 72% |
| 13 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 73% |
| 12 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 75% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 21 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 21 September at 15:36 UTC; Latest from Tom's Hardware followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 21 September at 17:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Latest from Tom's Hardware, Quartz.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 80%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but only the market cap value on the specified final day matters.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? — resolved “Yes” on 30 Sept 2026. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on September 30, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company taking that lead by the deadline results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the deciding factor, but the resolution relies solely on verified financial data from credible reporting sources.
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? — resolved “No” on 30 Sept 2026. For NVIDIA to win, it must hold the second-largest market capitalization globally at 4 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The outcome depends on a consensus of credible financial reporting regarding company valuations at that specific time.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsAMD Set to Top $1 Trillion in Market Value as Chip Stocks Soar74%
- Latest from Tom's HardwareAMD beats Intel to the trillion-dollar club as stock price soars — firm joins Nvidia, Broadcom, and SK hynix for companies worth over $1 trillion74%
- QuartzAMD stock hits $1 trillion market cap for the first time on a five-day AI chip rally74%
- Current odds80%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- AMD Set to Top $1 Trillion in Market Value as Chip Stocks Soar Bloomberg Markets ·
- AMD stock hits $1 trillion market cap for the first time on a five-day AI chip rally Quartz
- AMD beats Intel to the trillion-dollar club as stock price soars — firm joins Nvidia, Broadcom, and SK hynix for companies worth over $1 trillion Latest from Tom's Hardware
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 80% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes 36d ago
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? No 36d ago
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- AMD
- Intel
- Nvidia
- Broadcom
- SK hynix