Alito urged to retire while MAGA Republicans hold majority

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 10 November at 13:30 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Samuel Alito — the market puts it at 25%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Justice Samuel Alito resigns or announces his intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake recusal for resignation; only actual resignation or an announcement of intent to resign counts toward the Yes outcome.
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $992 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. For the Yes outcome, Samuel Alito must make an official announcement that he will retire by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The retirement can take effect immediately or at any future date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about past considerations as a valid announcement, but only his actual declaration of intent counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.