Alaska Senate Candidate Daniel J. Sullivan Leaves Hometown Ahead of Election

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 30 October at 19:44 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• At least 1% — the market puts it at 94%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receives between 1% and 100% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election, based on the certified results. The outcome depends solely on the official certification of that specific election's vote count.
• Dan Sullivan — the market puts it at 29%, with $19k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the date of the linked debate for the resolution deadline.
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 26%, with $27k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, including any required run-offs. It resolves to No if he loses that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final vote count instead of the date when all three specified news sources call the winner.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.