At least 1%
Implied probability 94%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receives between 1% and 100% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election, based on the certified results. The outcome depends solely on the official certification of that specific election's vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%