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How much the press wrote about MTV each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 01:03 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Sept, 13:34 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Sept, 10:34 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Sept, 09:20 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 06:14 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 05:29 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Sept, 04:51 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 03:54 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Sept, 01:47 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Sept, 00:53 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Sept, 00:26 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Sept, 23:22 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Sept, 22:56 UTC | 35% |
| 21 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 36% |
| 21 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 20:48 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Sept, 19:55 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Sept, 19:19 UTC | 28% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 38% |
Snoop Dogg hosted the ceremony while Madonna opened with Sabrina Carpenter and Charli XCX, and Lisa secured major wins.
The surviving members accept the lifetime achievement honor from Chuck D, citing the band's enduring resonance as proof of a public hunger for authenticity.
The MTV Video Music Awards handed out trophies to top artists including Taylor Swift, Madonna and Kacey Musgraves during the ceremony broadcast on CBS and streaming platforms.
Polymarket Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? 0% −23