Bruno Mars
Implied probability 96%+8
24-hour volume$60k
Total volume$87k
Liquidity$87k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bruno Mars performs or is officially announced to perform at the MTV VMAs 2026 during the event's official timeframe. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any pre-show rumor or informal mention for a valid announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%