Taylor Swift
Why it moved: +34 points at 17:52 UTC, after Deadline: How To Watch & Stream The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 19:05 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift performs or an announcement of her performance occurs at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards within the official event timeframe. It resolves to No if she does not perform and no such announcement is made during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about the hosts for the resolution criteria, but only Swift's actual performance or announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%