Will “Tears” by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$211
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sabrina Carpenter’s “Tears” wins Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. It resolves to No if any other video wins, or if “Tears” was not officially nominated when nominees were announced. The deadline is December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; if no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to Other.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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