Yum Brands Earnings Beat Estimates Despite Taco Bell Sales Drop From Cyclospora Outbreak
Yum Brands reported earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, even as a cyclospora outbreak linked to lettuce reduced same-store sales at its Taco Bell locations.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 12:07 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 11:42 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Above 0% respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 3 Nov 2026. CNBC published first, on 3 November at 12:01 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 29m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 3 November at 13:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CNBC (major outlet), Quartz.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 0% — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Yum! Brands reports positive same-store sales growth for Taco Bell in the third quarter of 2026. The outcome is No if that growth is zero percent or lower. Readers often mistake any reported sales increase for growth, but the rule requires strictly above-zero percentage growth.
- Above 4% — the market puts it at 56%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Yum! Brands Inc. reports that Taco Bell's same-store sales grow by more than 4% in fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if the reported growth is 4% or lower. Readers often mistake the current cyclospora outbreak for the final result, but only the official fiscal 2026 earnings report counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 0% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CNBCYum Brands earnings beat estimates, but cyclospora outbreak weighs on Taco Bell2%
- QuartzYum! Brands posted higher revenue despite Taco Bell's cyclospora slump3%▲1 points since the previous source
- QuartzYum! Brands verzeichnete höhere Einnahmen trotz des Cyclospora-Rückgangs bei Taco Bell.3%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Above 0% No 38m ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 4% 56%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Yum Brands
- Taco Bell