Above 0%
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 3%
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolved4 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 12:07 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 11:42 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Yum! Brands reports positive same-store sales growth for Taco Bell in the third quarter of 2026. The outcome is No if that growth is zero percent or lower. Readers often mistake any reported sales increase for growth, but the rule requires strictly above-zero percentage growth.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%