Above 4%
Implied probability 56%
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves5 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 2 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Yum! Brands Inc. reports that Taco Bell's same-store sales grow by more than 4% in fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if the reported growth is 4% or lower. Readers often mistake the current cyclospora outbreak for the final result, but only the official fiscal 2026 earnings report counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%