Yemen Becomes Iran’s New Front for Regional Conquest
Analysts argue that Yemen serves as a critical theater for Tehran's ambitions to expand its influence across the Middle East.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 11 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Nov, 11:31 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Nov, 11:09 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Nov, 10:32 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Nov, 10:25 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 09:43 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 09:23 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 08:56 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Nov, 08:23 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Nov, 07:57 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Nov, 07:23 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Nov, 05:56 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 04:48 UTC | 15% |
| 11 Nov, 04:28 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 20% |
| 11 Nov, 03:22 UTC | 20% |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Nov, 02:20 UTC | 20% |
| 11 Nov, 01:40 UTC | 24% |
| 11 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 30% |
| 11 Nov, 00:10 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Nov, 21:15 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Nov, 20:54 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 21% |
| 10 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Nov, 17:08 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Nov, 16:54 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 15:22 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Nov, 13:43 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 13:22 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 10:13 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Nov, 09:59 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 17% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 17% |
| 10 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Nov, 22:44 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Nov, 20:54 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Nov, 15:16 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Nov, 14:22 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 32% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 9 November at 12:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 44%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if active members of the regular Syrian armed forces deliberately enter any part of Yemen by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if such entry does not occur, or if it cannot be confirmed by official sources or credible reporting within three days after the deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? 44% +27
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In this story
- Yemen
- Iran