Yamal and Raphinha Lead Barcelona to Top Liga Spot After Win Over Alaves Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours
Lamine Yamal and Raphinha each score two goals as Barcelona defeat Alaves to reclaim the top position in La Liga.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 70% |
| 28 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 71% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 79% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Nov 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 1 November at 09:10 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Barcelona — the market puts it at 68%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins the 2026-27 La Liga title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a bet on any trophy or a different season.
- Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? — the market puts it at 50%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Jun 2027. Raphinha must score more goals than any other player in the 2026-27 La Liga season for the Yes outcome to trigger. Only goals from official league matches count, while cup or European goals are excluded. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than June 14, 2027.
- Barcelona — the market puts it at 7%, closing 15 Jul 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Barcelona gets relegated from La Liga during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they avoid relegation in that specific season. Readers often mistake the current league standing for the final outcome, but only the end-of-season status matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Barcelona 68% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? 50% +17
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Barcelona 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Lamine Yamal
- Raphinha
- Barcelona
- Alaves