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Vance Says Trump Would Endorse Him If He Runs for President in 2028

The vice president stated he believes the current president would support his potential bid for the Republican nomination.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 20 Oct 2026 · updated 3h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · J.D. Vance
0%50%100%52%13 Oct, 23:46 UTCnowThe Hill: Trump deflects on potential Vance endorsement · 20 Oct, 19:44 UTCThe Hill: Vance says he thinks Trump will endorse him if he runs · 20 Oct, 15:03 UTCFox News Politics: Vance reveals the Trump dilemma that could complicate his 2028 White House ambitions · 20 Oct, 19:49 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now52%
20 Oct, 19:41 UTC52%
20 Oct, 15:09 UTC44%
16 Oct, 16:06 UTC47%
16 Oct, 11:58 UTC54%
14 Oct, 18:05 UTC55%
14 Oct, 04:41 UTC53%
13 Oct, 23:46 UTC56%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 15:03 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 4h 46m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 20 October at 19:49 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • J.D. Vance — the market puts it at 52%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump publicly endorses J.D. Vance for the 2028 presidential election before March 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about midterm tensions as relevant, but only a direct endorsement by Trump counts toward resolution.
  • JD Vance and Donald Trump — the market puts it at 5%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if JD Vance serves as the Republican presidential nominee and Donald Trump serves as the vice presidential nominee in the 2028 election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who wins the general election rather than who holds the specific nomination slots.
  • Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $10k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Eric Trump wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, based on a consensus of official Republican Party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including any replacement of the nominee before election day. Readers often mistake the source of truth or ignore the requirement that he must both win and accept the nomination.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on J.D. Vance at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The HillVance says he thinks Trump will endorse him if he runs47%
  2. The HillTrump deflects on potential Vance endorsement52%▲5 points since the previous source
  3. Fox News PoliticsVance reveals the Trump dilemma that could complicate his 2028 White House ambitions52%
  4. Current odds52%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Trump deflects on potential Vance endorsement The Hill ·
  2. Vance says he thinks Trump will endorse him if he runs The Hill ·
  3. Vance reveals the Trump dilemma that could complicate his 2028 White House ambitions Fox News Politics

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi J.D. Vance 52% +7 $8 24hends 1 Mar 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi JD Vance and Donald Trump 5% $0 24hends 7 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 0% $10k 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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