J.D. Vance
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$126
Total volume$221k
Liquidity$221k
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if J.D. Vance formally accepts the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. It resolves to No if he does not accept that specific nomination. Readers often mistake a president's endorsement or a candidate's public statements about running for the actual acceptance of the nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 95%