Vance Campaigns in Kansas as Marshall Faces Tough Challenge
VP JD Vance visits the state while Republican Senator Roger Marshall contends with a stronger-than-expected primary challenge from Democrat Adam Hamilton.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 74% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Sept, 23:03 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Sept, 03:10 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 76% |
| 16 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 14:12 UTC | 76% |
| 16 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 76% |
| 16 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 04:05 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Sept, 03:58 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 02:22 UTC | 73% |
| 16 Sept, 01:45 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 00:53 UTC | 74% |
| 16 Sept, 00:18 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 75% |
| 15 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 75% |
| 15 Sept, 12:29 UTC | 74% |
| 15 Sept, 10:48 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 10:48 UTC | 80% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 15 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 15 September at 10:00 UTC; The Hill followed 31h 24m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 16 September at 17:23 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Washington Post (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 74%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 51%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? 74% −2
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- Polymarket Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 51%
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In this story
- JD Vance
- Roger Marshall
- Adam Hamilton
- Kansas