US to Reopen Cold War Base and Open New Military Bases in Greenland

The US will establish at least two new military bases in Greenland as part of a deal with Denmark.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 22 Sept 2026 · updated 46d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	2%
24 Sept, 17:55 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 17:09 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 14:01 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 13:32 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 10:35 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 09:13 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 08:22 UTC	2%
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24 Sept, 01:51 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 23:41 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 23:27 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 22:55 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 20:20 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 16:03 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 14:48 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 13:28 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 12:54 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 12:23 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 10:24 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 09:42 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 09:28 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 08:53 UTC	2%
23 Sept, 07:27 UTC	3%
23 Sept, 06:43 UTC	3%
23 Sept, 06:28 UTC	3%
23 Sept, 03:30 UTC	3%
23 Sept, 03:16 UTC	3%
23 Sept, 02:38 UTC	3%
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23 Sept, 01:21 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 23:53 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 23:21 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 22:34 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 22:28 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 21:46 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 21:12 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 20:57 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 20:20 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 19:42 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 19:28 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 18:15 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 17:54 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 17:05 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 16:28 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 15:48 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 15:23 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 14:44 UTC	3%
22 Sept, 14:19 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 13:57 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 11:10 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 06:33 UTC	4%
22 Sept, 06:14 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 23:42 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 23:16 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 22:48 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 21:23 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 19:55 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 19:28 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 18:58 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 17:23 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 16:49 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 16:23 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 15:55 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 15:29 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 14:22 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 13:46 UTC	5%
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21 Sept, 12:37 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 12:08 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 11:56 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 10:44 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 09:56 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 08:08 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 05:09 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 00:38 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 00:24 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 23:24 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 06:17 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 05:53 UTC	5%
20 Sept, 05:21 UTC	5%
20 Sept, 04:46 UTC	4%
20 Sept, 03:17 UTC	4%
20 Sept, 01:11 UTC	4%
20 Sept, 00:34 UTC	4%
20 Sept, 00:28 UTC	4%
19 Sept, 23:58 UTC	5%
19 Sept, 22:55 UTC	5%
19 Sept, 20:57 UTC	5%
19 Sept, 20:03 UTC	5%
19 Sept, 19:25 UTC	6%
19 Sept, 15:30 UTC	6%
19 Sept, 12:13 UTC	7%
19 Sept, 11:55 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 11:19 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 10:45 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 09:50 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 09:05 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 08:59 UTC	7%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC	7%
18 Sept, 08:09 UTC	4%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 22 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 22 September at 00:30 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 14h 01m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 22 September at 18:02 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.

One prediction market prices this story:

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? — the market puts it at 2%, with $34k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the United States acquires sovereignty or exclusive control over any part of Greenland by December 31, 2026. This requires a binding legal instrument that transfers formal authority, not just security agreements or access rights. Readers often mistake non-binding deals or temporary permissions for actual acquisition.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

22 Sept, 00:30Times of India US to reopen Cold War-era base, set up new military presence in Greenland: Report4%
22 Sept, 14:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Where is the US opening new military bases in Greenland?4%▼1 points since the previous source
22 Sept, 18:02Times of India Trump to increase presence with two ‘very big’ military bases in Greenland3%
NowCurrent odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Polymarket Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? 2% $34k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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In this story

United States
Denmark
Greenland

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