Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$11.0M
Liquidity$61k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 08:01 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 23:43 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the United States acquires sovereignty or exclusive control over any part of Greenland by December 31, 2026. This requires a binding legal instrument that transfers formal authority, not just security agreements or access rights. Readers often mistake non-binding deals or temporary permissions for actual acquisition.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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