US Supreme Court Rejects Bid to Revive 9/11 Mastermind's Plea Deal Hot: Odds moved 38 points in 24 hours
The US Supreme Court denied appeals by Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and two co-defendants, keeping the death penalty on the table for their upcoming military trial.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Hill News, 14 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 39% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 19 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 19 October at 13:46 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 14 min later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 19 October at 16:48 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States — the market puts it at 1%, with $930 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States before Jan 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution event, but only the Supreme Court's grant of certiorari counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hill NewsSupreme Court turns away appeal from 9/11 defendants seeking to reinstate plea deals39%
- CBS News PoliticsSupreme Court turns away appeal from alleged 9/11 mastermind39%
- AxiosSupreme Court won't revive accused 9/11 mastermind's plea deal39%
- The Guardian USSupreme court rejects effort to revive plea deal for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in 9/11 attacks39%
- South China Morning PostUS Supreme Court denies bid by accused 9/11 mastermind to revive plea deal39%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Supreme court rejects effort to revive plea deal for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in 9/11 attacks The Guardian US ·
- Supreme Court won't revive accused 9/11 mastermind's plea deal Axios ·
- Supreme Court turns away appeal from alleged 9/11 mastermind CBS News Politics ·
- Supreme Court turns away appeal from 9/11 defendants seeking to reinstate plea deals The Hill News ·
- US Supreme Court denies bid by accused 9/11 mastermind to revive plea deal South China Morning Post
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 1% −38
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In this story
- Supreme Court
- Khalid Sheikh Mohammed
- Mustafa al-Hawsawi
- Walid bin ‘Attash