Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States
Implied probability 1%−38
24-hour volume$930
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 39% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States before Jan 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution event, but only the Supreme Court's grant of certiorari counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%