US Imposes Sanctions on International Criminal Court After Nobel Award
The Trump administration sanctioned the ICC to dismantle it, escalating tensions with European allies shortly after a former judge won the Nobel Peace Prize.
First reported by Hacker News, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 9 Oct 2026. Hacker News published first, on 9 October at 14:31 UTC; The Hill followed 8 min later. The most recent article, from Hacker News, appeared on 9 October at 14:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Hacker News, News - South China Morning Post, Deutsche Welle.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — resolved “No” on 9 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Hacker NewsUS imposes sanctions on ICC hours after former judge wins Nobel Peace Prize0%
- The HillUS sanctions global court as judge awarded Nobel Peace Prize0%
- News - South China Morning PostUS slaps sanctions on ICC, hours after ex-judge wins Nobel0%
- Deutsche WelleUS imposes sanctions aiming to 'dismantle' International Criminal Court0%
- Hacker NewsImposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court0%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- US sanctions global court as judge awarded Nobel Peace Prize The Hill ·
- US imposes sanctions aiming to 'dismantle' International Criminal Court Deutsche Welle
- US slaps sanctions on ICC, hours after ex-judge wins Nobel News - South China Morning Post
- Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court Hacker News
- US imposes sanctions on ICC hours after former judge wins Nobel Peace Prize Hacker News
Markets on this story
- Resolved Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 46m ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- International Criminal Court
- Donald Trump
- Marco Rubio
- Navanethem Rathayakumaran