UCLA Defeats Oregon to Remain Undefeated at 5-0 Hot: Odds moved 16 points in 24 hours
Running back Wayne Knight scores two touchdowns as the Bruins beat the Ducks 17-15 despite an injury to quarterback Nico Iamaleava.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 93% |
| 11 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 94% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 93% |
| 11 Oct, 02:18 UTC | 93% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Oct, 23:30 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 92% |
| 8 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 94% |
| 7 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 81% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 11 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 11 October at 00:11 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 7+ wins — the market puts it at 95%, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the UCLA college football team records seven or more victories during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than seven wins in that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes postseason games rather than just the regular season.
- 11+ wins — resolved “No” on 11 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Oregon college football team achieves at least 11 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 11 games or do not complete the season with that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes postseason bowl games rather than just the regular season.
- UCLA — the market puts it at 32%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if UCLA qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if UCLA does not qualify. Readers often mistake a single game win, like beating Oregon, as sufficient for qualification.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 7+ wins 95%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved 11+ wins No 41h ago
The market favoured No at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi UCLA 32% −16
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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