Type One Energy Raises $200M to Build Fusion Power Plant by 2034
The company secured the funding to accelerate its timeline for delivering a commercial fusion facility to the grid.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Sept, 12:43 UTC | 63% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. TechCrunch published first, on 6 October at 12:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter — the market puts it at 57%, closing 1 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in any single quarter between Q1 2025 and Q1 2027. It resolves to No if the company fails to meet this threshold during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the US Energy Department for the relevant data source, but only Tesla's deployment figures count.
- Nuclear — the market puts it at 2%, with $56 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Dec 2032. The market resolves to Yes if nuclear power accounts for the largest share of global primary energy consumption in 2030. It resolves to No if any other energy source holds that top spot. Readers often mistake the linked story about a specific fusion plant's funding as the deciding factor, but only total global consumption data matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 57%
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- Kalshi Nuclear 2% −1
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In this story
- Type One Energy