Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Why it moved: −7 points at 12:57 UTC, after Quartz: Trump's Energy Department is spending $2 billion to squeeze more power from the aging U.S. grid — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Sept, 12:43 UTC | 63% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in any single quarter between Q1 2025 and Q1 2027. It resolves to No if the company fails to meet this threshold during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the US Energy Department for the relevant data source, but only Tesla's deployment figures count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%