Trump To Attend Georgia-Alabama Football Game In Tuscaloosa Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
The president will make his third visit to Bryant-Denny Stadium while campaigning for Republicans ahead of the midterm elections.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 3 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 98% |
| 1 Oct, 23:51 UTC | 84% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Georgia respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 2 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 October at 23:42 UTC; The Hill News followed 1h 02m later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 3 October at 00:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Georgia — the market puts it at 97%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Georgia between October 1, 2026, and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this specific presence requirement during that window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a football game as sufficient proof, but only his actual physical presence in the state counts.
- Transgender — the market puts it at 99%, with $46k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 16 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly says the word "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama, which was originally scheduled for October 2, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not say the word at that specific event. Readers often mistakenly believe any mention of transgender topics or speeches at other locations counts toward the Yes outcome.
- Alabama vs Georgia — the market puts it at 20%, with $316 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Alabama and Georgia are officially confirmed as the teams playing in the 2026 SEC Championship game. It resolves to No if they do not play each other in that specific championship match. Readers often mistake the linked story about Trump attending a different game for confirmation of this matchup.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Georgia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Georgia 97% +13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Transgender 99% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Alabama vs Georgia 20% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- University of Georgia
- University of Alabama
- Bryant-Denny Stadium