Trump Slams Ex-Lawyer’s $50M Deal With Pardoned Banker’s Family

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 1 Nov 2026. Times of India published first, on 1 November at 10:31 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 5h 19m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 1 November at 16:12 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Times of India.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Alina Habba — the market puts it at 1%, with $945 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Alina Habba formally holds the title of White House Press Secretary before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if she does not hold that specific position within the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a financial deal for the official confirmation of her appointment.
• Yes — the market puts it at 83%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, his immediate family, or their spouses receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about diesel mechanics for the triggering event, but only pardons granted to the specified individuals count.
• Before Trump's term ends — the market puts it at 6%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029. It resolves to 'No' if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about media bans for the triggering event, but only a suspension of habeas corpus counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.