Trump Says Taiwan Agrees to Buy Gas From Alaska Pipeline

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. Just In News published first, on 14 October at 01:31 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Pipeline — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions the Pipeline during his Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska on October 13, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention it at that specific event. Readers often mistake this for a resolution based on general statements about the pipeline rather than the exact speech at the scheduled rally.
• Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 10%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the delivery of fighter jets for formal diplomatic recognition.
• Taiwan — the market puts it at 1%, with $104 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Taiwan's borders between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not make such a visit by that deadline. Readers often mistake the arrival of military equipment for a presidential visit, but only Trump's physical presence counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.