Taiwan
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$43k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Taiwan's borders between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not make such a visit by that deadline. Readers often mistake the arrival of military equipment for a presidential visit, but only Trump's physical presence counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%