Trump Renewed Calls For Venezuela To Become 51st U.S. State

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 27 October at 20:28 UTC; The Guardian followed 2h 38m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 27 October at 23:07 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet).

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before 2029 — the market puts it at 9%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States admits a new state into the Union before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if no additional state joins by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Venezuela for an actual admission event, but only official statehood counts.
• Greenland — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. Greenland becomes a U.S. state if it joins the Union as the 51st state before January 20, 2029. The market resolves to Yes if this happens and No otherwise. Readers often mistake diplomatic visits or security discussions for actual statehood.
• Venezuela — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the US Secretary of State visits Venezuela before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Milei for the actual resolution condition.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.