Venezuela
Why it moved: −9 points at 23:08 UTC, after France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo: Informe desde Washington: Trump resalta relación con Xi tras reunión en la Casa Blanca — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 24 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Sept, 19:26 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the US Secretary of State visits Venezuela before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Milei for the actual resolution condition.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%