Trump, Putin And Xi Jinping Face War Illusions
Analysts question whether Chinese leader Xi Jinping will learn from the failed military campaigns launched by American and Russian counterparts.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 11 Nov, 03:36 UTC | 93% |
| 11 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 92% |
| 11 Nov, 02:27 UTC | 92% |
| 11 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Nov, 20:48 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Nov, 17:08 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Nov, 14:33 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Nov, 13:43 UTC | 90% |
| 10 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 12:13 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 09:31 UTC | 90% |
| 10 Nov, 08:39 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 06:37 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 06:09 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 01:39 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 00:53 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 00:06 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 23:59 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 15:16 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 14:58 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 14:15 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 13:47 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 10:17 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Nov, 07:36 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 07:23 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 05:36 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 02:33 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Nov, 00:09 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 21:29 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 19:44 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 16:41 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 15:54 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 14:40 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 12:27 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 11:20 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 02:55 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Nov, 02:28 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 18:38 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 15:10 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Nov, 14:55 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Nov, 13:12 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Nov, 11:24 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Nov, 08:09 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Nov, 07:07 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 12:15 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 13:45 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 11:11 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 09:55 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 08:44 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 08:21 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 02:10 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 19:49 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 11:12 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 08:03 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 22:53 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 91% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 12:48 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 12:16 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 11:48 UTC | 90% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 86% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 86% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 86% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 87% |
| 20 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 87% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 87% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 82% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 82% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 80% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 81% |
| 6 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 80% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 80% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 08:38 UTC | 75% |
| 1 Oct, 06:22 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 17:41 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 15:52 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 14:17 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 72% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. News Feed published first, on 9 November at 12:24 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? — the market puts it at 93%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if an authentic photo or video shows Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping in the same frame between now and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The media must be captured and released within this timeframe to count. Readers often mistake a news report of a meeting for actual visual proof of all three men appearing together.
- China — the market puts it at 94%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Trump and Putin meet in China before January 1, 2029. This meeting must be their first encounter after the scheduled August 15, 2025 summit in Alaska. Readers often mistake any recent diplomatic visit for the required event, but only this specific sequence of meetings counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? 93% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi China · Where will Trump and Putin next meet? 94%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Putin
- Xi Jinping