Trump Cuts $177bn in Grants While Pledging $5,000 Checks to Voters

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 10 Sept, 02:16Times of IndiaFrom ‘Trump Strait’ to $5k for every voter: MAGA boss makes big midterm pitch—
2. 10 Sept, 02:25News FeedTrump promises $5,000 ‘dividend’ for US voters if Republicans win midterms—
3. 10 Sept, 02:48CBS News PoliticsTrump pitches $5,000 checks, but only if GOP wins House and Senate—
4. 10 Sept, 02:48The HillTrump pledges $5K 'Trump dividend' if Republicans hold onto Congress—
5. 10 Sept, 03:00MarketWatchTrump promises $5,000 checks if Republicans win the midterms. But he also promised tariff dividends last year that never came.—
6. 10 Sept, 03:20Fox News PoliticsTrump makes stunning first-of-its-kind cash promise in bid to rally GOP voters at Dallas midterm convention—
7. 10 Sept, 03:44Deutsche WelleTrump promises Americans $5,000 if Republicans win midterms—
8. 10 Sept, 03:59The Guardian USUS citizens will receive $5,000 if Republicans win midterms, Trump claims in lengthy convention speech—
9. 10 Sept, 04:09Latest articlesTrump floats $5,000 payment to U.S. adults if GOP wins midterms—
10. 10 Sept, 04:14The HillTrump implores GOP to 'pretend' he's on November ballot at first night of midterm convention—
11. Show 115 later sources

    1. 10 Sept, 04:25Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump: Every American gets $5,000 if Republicans win House & Senate—
    2. 10 Sept, 05:15France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump says he'll give Americans $5,000 each if Republicans win midterm elections—
    3. 10 Sept, 05:19Bloomberg.comTrump Touts a $5,000 Payout to Americans If GOP Wins Midterms—
    4. 10 Sept, 05:34Bloomberg MarketsTrump Announces $5,000 to US Adults if GOP Wins Midterms—
    5. 10 Sept, 06:06Bloomberg MarketsTrump Payout Pledge Adds to Bond Market Jitters as Auction Looms—
    6. 10 Sept, 06:18All Content from Business InsiderTrump's pitch to every American adult: Help the GOP win the midterms and you'll get a $5,000 'dividend'—
    7. 10 Sept, 06:30WIREDTrump offers every American $5,000 If Republicans Win The Midterms—
    8. 10 Sept, 06:30Feed: All LatestTrump Offers $5,000 to Every American if Republicans Win the Midterms—
    9. 10 Sept, 08:47MarketWatchRunning the numbers on Trump’s $5,000 dividend proposal, from its cost to the impact on average American’s finances—
    10. 10 Sept, 09:00NPR PoliticsAfter Trump promised to pay $5,000 if Republicans win, here's what to expect Thursday—
    11. 10 Sept, 09:03Fox News Politics[Thursday 5am] Trump puts himself back on the ballot: 5 takeaways from GOP midterm convention Night 1—
    12. 10 Sept, 09:03Fox News PoliticsTrump puts himself back on the ballot: 5 takeaways from GOP midterm convention night one—
    13. 10 Sept, 09:19The Guardian USTrump: we will pay every US citizen $5,000 if Republicans win midterms – video—
    14. 10 Sept, 09:35Bloomberg.comTrump’s $5,000 Pledge Deepens Concern Over Fiscal Discipline—
    15. 10 Sept, 09:50France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Trump promises $5,000 payout if Republicans win—
    16. 10 Sept, 10:19FortuneTrump says he’ll give everyone $5,000 if Americans vote Republican—but it’s questionable whether he can deliver on the promise—
    17. 10 Sept, 10:21France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS midterms: Trump touts $5,000 payout if Republicans win—
    18. 10 Sept, 10:34France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesHoping to salvage midterms, Trump makes dubious pledge to give every US adult $5,000—
    19. 10 Sept, 10:38Bloomberg.comTrump Pledges $5,000 Quid Pro Quo for GOP Win in Midterms—
    20. 10 Sept, 10:39FortuneAs the U.S. Treasury shells out $95 billion a month in interest to cover deficits, Trump pitches a $1.3 trillion payout to voters if Republicans win the midterms—
    21. 10 Sept, 10:41The Guardian USVance appears to walk back Trump’s offer of $5,000 ‘dividend’ if Republicans win midterms – US politics live—
    22. 10 Sept, 10:42AxiosTrump makes a familiar promise: $5,000 checks for everyone—
    23. 10 Sept, 10:49The Guardian USTrump makes highly unusual promise of $5,000 for all if Republicans win midterms | First Thing—
    24. 10 Sept, 11:26France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump highlights his own record at midterm Republican convention—
    25. 10 Sept, 11:27NPR PoliticsTrump promises Americans $5K if GOP wins. And, Kirk supporters reflect on his death—
    26. 10 Sept, 11:38Bloomberg MarketsStocks Waver Ahead of PPI, Earnings, Brent Hits $102, Trump Vows Midterm Payout to Voters—
    27. 10 Sept, 11:50Bloomberg MarketsTrump’s $5,000 Payout Promise, Iran Ready to Escalate War—
    28. 10 Sept, 12:30QuartzTrump is promising $5,000 checks to every U.S. adult if Republicans win the midterms—
    29. 10 Sept, 13:18All Content from Business InsiderTrump just promised Americans another check if things go his way. People are adding it to the tab.—
    30. 10 Sept, 13:40QuartzTrump's $5,000 midterm pledge faces bipartisan pushback—
    31. 10 Sept, 13:42Washington PostWhat to know about Trump’s proposed $5,000 payouts—
    32. 10 Sept, 13:44Fox News PoliticsTrump dangles $5,000 checks as debt surges — but only if GOP can clear major midterm hurdle—
    33. 10 Sept, 13:47National ReviewTrump Breaks Glass, Joins Socialists, Embraces Bribery—
    34. 10 Sept, 13:52FortuneTrump tries to bribe Americans to vote Republican with promise of $5,000 dividend — only if the GOP wins—
    35. 10 Sept, 14:13Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump promises $5,000 payouts if GOP wins midterms: Can the US afford it?—
    36. 10 Sept, 14:34The Guardian USTrump’s promise of $5,000 ‘dividend’ for US citizens after midterms met with incredulity—
    37. 10 Sept, 14:37FortuneMajor Republican donor balks at Trump’s $5,000 ‘bread and circus bribe’ at midterm convention—
    38. 10 Sept, 14:44The HillFox News’s Baier presses Vance on Trump’s $5K dividend promise—
    39. 10 Sept, 15:05Just In NewsChip Roy on Trump dividends: ‘Dependency is evil & soul-sucking in all its forms’—
    40. 10 Sept, 15:35Rolling StoneTrump Plays Americans for Fools by Trying to Bribe Them for Votes—
    41. 10 Sept, 15:39FortuneTrump’s $5,000 ‘dividend’ is really a $1.15 trillion hole in the deficit, top economist estimates—
    42. 10 Sept, 15:41The HillTrump faces blowback with $5,000 dividend promise—
    43. 10 Sept, 16:16All Content from Business InsiderHere's all the free money Trump's talked about giving Americans during his second term — and where it all stands—
    44. 10 Sept, 16:25The HillFive things to know about Trump's $5K dividend pledge—
    45. 10 Sept, 16:29FortuneTrump’s first term had real stimulus checks. His second has promised ones tied to problems he started—
    46. 10 Sept, 16:31Just In NewsTrump invokes Charlie Kirk at RNC convention—
    47. 10 Sept, 16:56CBS News PoliticsWhy not to bank on Trump's $5,000 dividend checks happening—
    48. 10 Sept, 17:30Washington PostTrump has proposed direct payments to Americans before. They haven’t happened.—
    49. 10 Sept, 17:34FortuneTrump’s $5,000 pledge and the bond market revolt shows it’s a voter bribe — costing every American $8,000—
    50. 10 Sept, 17:39France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesWhat to know about Trump's $5,000 'dividend' pledge—
    51. 10 Sept, 17:42The Guardian USDoes Trump’s $5,000 ‘dividend’ count as a bribe if we never get the money?—
    52. 10 Sept, 17:54The HillTrump: If GOP wins midterms, all adult citizens will get $5K dividend | RISING—
    53. 10 Sept, 18:12Washington Post BusinessRepublican skepticism arises after Trump’s pledge of $5,000 payouts tied to GOP wins—
    54. 10 Sept, 18:26News FeedHow would Trump’s $5,000 voting payout work?—
    55. 10 Sept, 18:40Just In NewsTrump defends timing of $5,000 dividend announcement—
    56. 10 Sept, 19:11The HillTrump gifts four aides $45k each as Americans struggle—
    57. 10 Sept, 19:55All Content from Business InsiderPalantir cofounder and GOP donor says Trump's proposed $5,000 dividend is a 'bribe'—
    58. 10 Sept, 20:16Fox News PoliticsTrump's $5,000 dividend checks would come with a major catch under GOP senator's plan—
    59. 10 Sept, 20:17CBS News PoliticsTrump's $5,000 payment would reignite inflation, economists say—
    60. 10 Sept, 20:26Fox News PoliticsTrump faces reckoning as GOP figures label $5K promise a 'socialist vote-buying scheme'—
    61. 10 Sept, 20:29Bloomberg.comBalance of Power: Trump Touts $5k Dividend (Podcast)—
    62. 10 Sept, 21:00CBS News Politics9/10: The Takeout with Major Garrett—
    63. 10 Sept, 21:40Washington PostTrump team expands midterms spending to $57 million so far—
    64. 10 Sept, 21:45The HillTrump sees backlash over $5K dividend pledge—
    65. 10 Sept, 22:33PoliticoGOP leaders blindsided by Trump’s promise of $5K checks—
    66. 10 Sept, 23:19CBS News PoliticsTrump shares details on $5,000 dividend with CBS News Texas—
    67. 11 Sept, 00:23Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWill Trump pay all US adults $5,000? Some Trump supporters are sceptical—
    68. 11 Sept, 03:17Times of India$5,000 DBT scheme in US: Trump says Congress' approval not needed for payout—
    69. 11 Sept, 11:00The Guardian USWake up, Britain: Donald Trump’s US is no friend of ours. We must secure our own place in the world | Simon Jenkins—
    70. 11 Sept, 11:00All Content from Business InsiderTrump snapped at a reporter after a question about his $5,000 promise to voters: 'You're the worst'—
    71. 11 Sept, 12:57The HillDeSantis knocks Trump $5K dividend payment pledge: 'More debt and more inflation'—
    72. 11 Sept, 14:08Just In NewsCollins: Trump’s proposed $5K dividend ‘extraordinarily costly’—
    73. 11 Sept, 14:47Times of IndiaPalantir cofounder Joe Lonsdale calls Trump's $5,000 checks 'bread and circus bribes'—
    74. 11 Sept, 15:02The HillBret Baier presses Paxton on Trump $5K dividend payment support—
    75. 11 Sept, 15:27Bloomberg MarketsHassett Sees Fiscally Responsible Path to $5,000 Payment—
    76. 11 Sept, 17:21News FeedTrump’s $5,000 dividend is bad corporate finance—
    77. 11 Sept, 17:42The HillWall Street Journal editorial board denounces 'preposterous' Trump dividend plan—
    78. 11 Sept, 18:02The HillCruz on $5K dividend: 'I don't think we should be paying people that are not working'—
    79. 11 Sept, 18:05National Review PodcastsA Bogus Bribe—
    80. 11 Sept, 18:27The HillLutnick says $5K dividend would not use taxpayer dollars—
    81. 11 Sept, 18:47The HillLaura Ingraham presses Trump on $5,000 ‘bribe’—
    82. 12 Sept, 10:00Washington Post BusinessWhy a $5,000 Trump dividend check won’t solve your money woes—
    83. 12 Sept, 10:00The Hill NewsTrump pledges $5K checks if Republicans do well in the midterms. Can he legally do that?—
    84. 12 Sept, 12:00The Guardian USWhy is Trump’s $5,000 offer to voters ‘like a woman’? Ask Fox News | Arwa Mahdawi—
    85. 12 Sept, 13:00Just In NewsLive updates: Trump visits Ireland, the debate over 5K dividends heats up—
    86. 12 Sept, 14:38The Guardian USTaxes wouldn’t fund $5,000 Trump ‘dividend’ if Republicans win midterms, says commerce secretary—
    87. 12 Sept, 17:22Times of IndiaTrump says he will give every US adult $5,000 if GOP wins in mid-terms; his aide reveals how—
    88. 12 Sept, 22:44The HillMarshall backtracks on support for $5,000 Trump dividend in Kansas Senate debate2%
    89. 13 Sept, 11:00The Guardian US‘Trump accounts’ promise to mint child millionaires. Experts have their doubts2%
    90. 13 Sept, 12:04NPR PoliticsPolitics chat: Trump's $5,000 promise to voters, Vance invokes Charlie Kirk2%
    91. 13 Sept, 13:30AxiosTrump's $5,000 checks require Congress to approve, Johnson says2%
    92. 13 Sept, 15:07The Guardian USTrump reiterates $5,000 ‘dividend’ pledge if Republicans win midterms2%
    93. 13 Sept, 17:27Just In NewsGOP rep says priority 'needs to be the military,' not $5K checks2%
    94. 13 Sept, 18:50The Hill NewsLawler deflects on supporting Trump’s $5K dividend pledge: ‘How do you pay for it?’2%
    95. 13 Sept, 19:36FortuneAfter Trump says he doesn’t need Congress for his $5,000 ‘dividend,’ House Speaker Mike Johnson says not so fast but vows to try to make it happen2%
    96. 14 Sept, 00:27Just In NewsTrump says $5K dividend checks to Americans will 'happen 100 percent'2%
    97. 14 Sept, 10:00Just In NewsRepublicans, fearing voter anger about costs, clash over economic strategy2%
    98. 14 Sept, 10:30National ReviewTrump’s Reckless $5,000 ‘Dividend’2%
    99. 14 Sept, 13:30Just In NewsWill Trump's payout promises boost Republican appeal to white women?2%
    100. 14 Sept, 17:30Washington PostWhat Mike Johnson and Trump had to say about $5,000 payments this weekend2%
    101. 14 Sept, 23:49AxiosTrump's $5,000 checks get chilly Senate GOP reception2%
    102. 15 Sept, 03:43Times of India'Trump is copying us': Shivakumar says US $5,000 plan 'inspired' by Congress2%
    103. 15 Sept, 10:00The Hill NewsTrump’s $5,000 dividend falls flat with GOP senators2%
    104. 15 Sept, 10:00Fox News PoliticsVoters have a blunt message for Trump about his idea to dole out $5,000 checks2%
    105. 15 Sept, 15:00The Hill NewsYour check for $5,000 is not in the mail2%
    106. 15 Sept, 15:46Fox News Politics‘Still waiting on the DOGE check’: Battleground state voters cast doubt on Trump’s new $5K promise2%
    107. 16 Sept, 10:00The Guardian BusinessTrump’s $5,000 pledge to voters is a shameless bribe | Steven Greenhouse2%
    108. 16 Sept, 11:00The Hill NewsTrump’s $5,000 handout is an insult to conservatism2%
    109. 16 Sept, 11:02The Guardian USHouse votes for a third time to end Iran war in symbolic move as conflict drags on – US politics live2%
    110. 16 Sept, 12:00South China Morning PostTrump taking notes from India? US$5,000 cash pitch draws ‘freebie’ comparisons2%
    111. 16 Sept, 15:38The Guardian USTrump 2.0 has cut or frozen $177bn in grants across every state, analysis finds2%
    112. 17 Sept, 14:04Fox News PoliticsLeaked Trump plan sparks GOP showdown over how far Republicans should go to support families2%
    113. 17 Sept, 15:14Fox News PoliticsTrump’s $5K checks could join stack of past unfulfilled promises, former Congress budget chief warns2%
    114. 17 Sept, 19:01Fox News PoliticsGOP lawmakers pump brakes on Trump's $5K check promise: 'Where are you getting the money?'2%
    115. 18 Sept, 20:07Fortune‘It’s a dumb idea’: Republicans split from proposed ‘Trump dividend’ $5,000 plan if GOP wins midterms2%
12. NowCurrent odds2%