Trump Pardons Two Diesel Mechanics At Alaska Rally For Clean Air Act Violations
President Trump granted pardons to Zachary Czubak and Patrick Fleming for Clean Air Act violations during a campaign event in Wasilla, Alaska.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 50% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 14 October at 02:12 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 1 min later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 14 October at 02:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Donald Trump — the market puts it at 50%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about pardoning diesel mechanics as the triggering event, but only a formal presidential action counts.
- Yes — the market puts it at 78%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, his immediate family, or their spouses receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about diesel mechanics for the triggering event, but only pardons granted to the specified individuals count.
- Save America Act — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump says "Save America Act" during a Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska that is originally scheduled for October 13, 2026. The outcome is No if this specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked news story about pardoning diesel mechanics as sufficient evidence, but only the spoken phrase at the specified rally counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Donald Trump 50%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Yes 78%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Save America Act Yes 1h ago
The market favoured Yes at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Zachary Czubak
- Patrick Fleming