Trump cheers rally attendee who hit protester at South Carolina event Hot: $324k traded on its market in 24 hours
The US president praised a supporter after he struck a demonstrator during a campaign stop in South Carolina.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 22 October at 01:23 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Crypto / Bitcoin — the market puts it at 1%, with $324k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump mentions Crypto or Bitcoin during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina. The event must be the one originally scheduled for October 21, 2026. Readers often mistake this deadline as the cutoff for any rally he holds, but only that specific scheduled event counts.
- Transgender — resolved “Yes” on 22 Oct 2026.
- Iran (5+ times) — the market puts it at 72%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump mentions Iran five or more times during his Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida, which is scheduled for October 23, 2026. The resolution depends solely on the count of references made at this specific event. Readers often mistakenly look for mentions of Iran in other rallies or news reports instead of focusing exclusively on the Fort Myers speech.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Crypto / Bitcoin 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Transgender Yes 2h ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iran (5+ times) 72%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Clemson University