Transgender
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$175k
Liquidity$175k
Resolved3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 98% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 97% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 98% |
| 19 Oct, 14:22 UTC | 96% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%