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No. 1 Texas Holds Off No. 14 Tennessee 20-17 Behind Colin Simmons' Five Sacks

Top-ranked Texas defeated No. 14 Tennessee 20-17 in Knoxville, with Colin Simmons tying a program record with five sacks to anchor the defense.

4 publishers · 59 articles · first seen 16 Sept 2026 · updated 36d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · 10+ wins
0%50%100%61%23 Sept, 12:29 UTCnowwww.espn.com: 'Debate settled': Texas' UT jab at Tennessee leads top trolls of CFB Week 4 · 26 Sept, 21:31 UTCwww.espn.com: No. 1 Texas rides stout defensive performance to hold off No. 14 Vols · 26 Sept, 20:42 UTCSI Feed: Texas Found a Way to Win the Game It Couldn't Afford to Lose · 29 Sept, 13:00 UTCSI Feed: Texas' Road Win at Tennessee Changed the Conversation Around The Longhorns · 28 Sept, 18:50 UTCSI Feed: Texas Won at Tennessee, But Its Offense Still Has a Lot to Prove · 28 Sept, 18:12 UTCSI Feed: Steve Sarkisian Calls Out Media After Texas Longhorns Win Over Tennessee · 28 Sept, 13:16 UTCSI Feed: What We Learned About Will Muschamp’s Defense After Texas vs. Tennessee · 27 Sept, 23:43 UTCSI Feed: Grade Report: Tennessee vs. Texas Football · 27 Sept, 21:19 UTCSI Feed: 3 Overreactions After The Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Vols Game · 27 Sept, 17:18 UTCSI Feed: The Most Surprising Thing About Texas' Performance vs. Tennessee · 27 Sept, 16:33 UTCSI Feed: Texas Longhorns Offensive Line Struggles Return in Win vs. Tennessee · 27 Sept, 13:10 UTCSI Feed: Injury Updates for Texas Longhorns After Win Over Tennessee · 27 Sept, 02:56 UTCSI Feed: Texas Longhorns Stock Report: Who Helped and Hurt Themselves vs Tennessee · 26 Sept, 23:55 UTCSI Feed: 3 Texas Longhorns That Stood Out in Win vs. Tennessee · 26 Sept, 22:55 UTCSI Feed: The Good, Bad and Ugly From Texas Longhorns' Win Over Tennessee · 26 Sept, 21:11 UTCSI Feed: 5 Immediate Takeaways After Texas Longhorns Survive vs. Tennessee · 26 Sept, 20:02 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Arch Manning Underwhelms, Box Score Stats, Highlights, Draft Stock from Texas' Win vs. Tennessee · 26 Sept, 19:54 UTCSI Feed: Tennessee Football Suffers First Loss of the 2026 Season vs. Texas · 26 Sept, 19:49 UTCSI Feed: Notable Concerns From Texas Longhorns Are Keeping Tennessee Alive at Halftime · 26 Sept, 17:46 UTCSI Feed: College GameDay Predictions for Texas vs. Tennessee Matchup · 26 Sept, 17:03 UTCSI Feed: No. 1 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers: Live Game Updates, Box Score · 26 Sept, 15:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football picks by proven model · 26 Sept, 14:18 UTCSI Feed: 3 Bold Predictions for Texas Against Tennessee · 26 Sept, 14:05 UTCSI Feed: Live Updates: Tennessee Football vs. Texas · 26 Sept, 13:51 UTCSI Feed: Five Things That Will Decide Texas vs. Tennessee · 26 Sept, 13:00 UTCSI Feed: Three Questions the Texas Longhorns Must Answer vs. Tennessee · 26 Sept, 12:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model · 26 Sept, 11:12 UTCSI Feed: Keys to Success for Tennessee vs. Texas Football · 26 Sept, 09:42 UTCSI Feed: How to Watch: Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns · 26 Sept, 08:58 UTCSI Feed: Why Texas Longhorns Are Better Equipped for Their First SEC Road Test · 26 Sept, 01:00 UTCSI Feed: David Pollack Predicts Winner of Texas-Tennessee · 25 Sept, 23:26 UTCSI Feed: Texas May Have to Play Part of Saturday's Game Differently Because of Unique Circumstances · 25 Sept, 20:12 UTCSI Feed: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Texas Longhorns Football Predictions · 25 Sept, 19:19 UTCSI Feed: Bold Predictions: Tennessee vs. Texas · 25 Sept, 17:48 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model · 25 Sept, 13:48 UTCSI Feed: Tennessee Will Actually Be A Tougher Test For Texas Than Ohio State · 25 Sept, 13:30 UTCSI Feed: No. 1 Texas vs. No. 14 Tennessee: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, and More · 25 Sept, 13:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, pick, odds, spread: Longhorns face tough road test against Vols · 24 Sept, 20:15 UTCSI Feed: Texas vs. Tennessee Prediction: Who Wins and Why? · 24 Sept, 18:46 UTCSI Feed: 3 Storylines To Watch Out For in Texas vs. Tennessee · 24 Sept, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: 3 Matchups That Will Decide Texas’ Week 4 Game Against Tennessee · 23 Sept, 16:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 18 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now61%
4 Oct, 10:00 UTC61%
4 Oct, 04:45 UTC60%
3 Oct, 13:37 UTC61%
3 Oct, 11:34 UTC60%
1 Oct, 03:19 UTC64%
30 Sept, 21:31 UTC61%
30 Sept, 01:01 UTC64%
29 Sept, 19:54 UTC62%
29 Sept, 18:39 UTC60%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC56%
29 Sept, 14:44 UTC59%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC60%
27 Sept, 14:45 UTC65%
27 Sept, 07:55 UTC62%
27 Sept, 02:58 UTC54%
26 Sept, 21:24 UTC55%
26 Sept, 20:44 UTC65%
26 Sept, 08:38 UTC48%
26 Sept, 06:08 UTC52%
24 Sept, 20:38 UTC61%
24 Sept, 15:18 UTC57%
24 Sept, 13:03 UTC61%
23 Sept, 12:29 UTC58%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 59 articles since 16 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 16 September at 14:00 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 85h 18m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 29 September at 13:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • 10+ wins — the market puts it at 61%, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Texas college football team achieves at least 10 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
  • Texas — resolved “Yes” on 4 Oct 2026. Texas must hold the top spot in the College Football AP Poll Week 6 Rankings for the 2026-27 season to resolve as Yes. The No outcome applies if Texas does not rank first at that time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked story for the resolution deadline, but the actual cutoff is the release of the Week 6 rankings on October 4, 2026.
  • Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? — the market puts it at 16%, with $310 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff national championship. It resolves to No if Texas loses or is eliminated before winning. Readers often mistake the linked Kentucky-Texas A&M game for relevant information, but only the final CFP champion matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 10+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI Feed3 Matchups That Will Decide Texas Longhorns Matchup vs UTSA—
  2. SI Feed3 Storylines To Watch Most in Texas Longhorns Week 3 Matchup vs. UTSA—
  3. SI Feed5 Things That Will Decide Texas vs. UTSA—
  4. SI Feed3 Bold Predictions for Texas Against UTSA—
  5. SI FeedFive Things That Will Decide Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA in Week 3—
  6. SI FeedNo. 1 Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA: Live Updates and Box Score—
  7. feeds.bleacherreport.comArch Manning Impresses, Final Box Score Stats, Highlights, Draft Stock from Texas' Win over UTSA—
  8. SI Feed5 Immediate Takeaways From Texas Longhorns' Sloppy Win Over UTSA—
  9. SI FeedTexas Longhorns Report Card: Grading Every Position Group vs. UTSA—
  10. SI FeedThe Good, Bad and Ugly of Texas' Win Against UTSA—
  11. Show 49 later sources
    1. SI FeedThree Longhorns Who Stood Out in Win Over UTSA—
    2. SI FeedGeorgia Not Even Close to Knocking Texas Longhorns Off No. 1 Spot in Top 25 Rankings—
    3. SI FeedThe Biggest Concern Texas Longhorns Can't Ignore After Defeating UTSA—
    4. SI FeedThe Most Surprising Thing About Texas Longhorns' Win Over UTSA—
    5. SI Feed3 Overreactions After Texas Beat UTSA—
    6. SI FeedFive Longhorns Who Could Decide Texas vs. Tennessee—
    7. SI FeedTexas vs. Tennessee: Everything to Know About the Longhorns' Week 4 Opponent—
    8. SI FeedTexas Has a Much Bigger Problem Than Its No. 1 Ranking Heading Into Tennesse—
    9. SI Feed3 Matchups That Will Decide Texas’ Week 4 Game Against Tennessee58%
    10. SI Feed3 Storylines To Watch Out For in Texas vs. Tennessee58%
    11. SI FeedTexas vs. Tennessee Prediction: Who Wins and Why?57%▼1 points since the previous source
    12. CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Tennessee prediction, pick, odds, spread: Longhorns face tough road test against Vols57%
    13. SI FeedNo. 1 Texas vs. No. 14 Tennessee: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, and More61%▲4 points since the previous source
    14. SI FeedTennessee Will Actually Be A Tougher Test For Texas Than Ohio State61%
    15. CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model61%
    16. SI FeedBold Predictions: Tennessee vs. Texas61%
    17. SI FeedTennessee Volunteers vs. Texas Longhorns Football Predictions61%
    18. SI FeedTexas May Have to Play Part of Saturday's Game Differently Because of Unique Circumstances61%
    19. SI FeedDavid Pollack Predicts Winner of Texas-Tennessee61%
    20. SI FeedWhy Texas Longhorns Are Better Equipped for Their First SEC Road Test61%
    21. SI FeedHow to Watch: Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns48%▼13 points since the previous source
    22. SI FeedKeys to Success for Tennessee vs. Texas Football48%
    23. CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model48%
    24. SI FeedThree Questions the Texas Longhorns Must Answer vs. Tennessee48%
    25. SI FeedFive Things That Will Decide Texas vs. Tennessee48%
    26. SI FeedLive Updates: Tennessee Football vs. Texas48%
    27. SI Feed3 Bold Predictions for Texas Against Tennessee48%
    28. CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football picks by proven model48%
    29. SI FeedNo. 1 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers: Live Game Updates, Box Score48%
    30. SI FeedCollege GameDay Predictions for Texas vs. Tennessee Matchup48%
    31. SI FeedNotable Concerns From Texas Longhorns Are Keeping Tennessee Alive at Halftime48%
    32. SI FeedTennessee Football Suffers First Loss of the 2026 Season vs. Texas48%
    33. feeds.bleacherreport.comArch Manning Underwhelms, Box Score Stats, Highlights, Draft Stock from Texas' Win vs. Tennessee48%
    34. SI Feed5 Immediate Takeaways After Texas Longhorns Survive vs. Tennessee48%
    35. www.espn.comNo. 1 Texas rides stout defensive performance to hold off No. 14 Vols48%
    36. SI FeedThe Good, Bad and Ugly From Texas Longhorns' Win Over Tennessee65%▲17 points since the previous source
    37. www.espn.com'Debate settled': Texas' UT jab at Tennessee leads top trolls of CFB Week 455%▼10 points since the previous source
    38. SI Feed3 Texas Longhorns That Stood Out in Win vs. Tennessee55%
    39. SI FeedTexas Longhorns Stock Report: Who Helped and Hurt Themselves vs Tennessee55%
    40. SI FeedInjury Updates for Texas Longhorns After Win Over Tennessee55%
    41. SI FeedTexas Longhorns Offensive Line Struggles Return in Win vs. Tennessee62%▲7 points since the previous source
    42. SI FeedThe Most Surprising Thing About Texas' Performance vs. Tennessee65%▲3 points since the previous source
    43. SI Feed3 Overreactions After The Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Vols Game65%
    44. SI FeedGrade Report: Tennessee vs. Texas Football65%
    45. SI FeedWhat We Learned About Will Muschamp’s Defense After Texas vs. Tennessee65%
    46. SI FeedSteve Sarkisian Calls Out Media After Texas Longhorns Win Over Tennessee65%
    47. SI FeedTexas Won at Tennessee, But Its Offense Still Has a Lot to Prove65%
    48. SI FeedTexas' Road Win at Tennessee Changed the Conversation Around The Longhorns65%
    49. SI FeedTexas Found a Way to Win the Game It Couldn't Afford to Lose60%▼5 points since the previous source
  12. Current odds61%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. 'Debate settled': Texas' UT jab at Tennessee leads top trolls of CFB Week 4 www.espn.com ·
  2. No. 1 Texas rides stout defensive performance to hold off No. 14 Vols www.espn.com ·
  3. Texas Found a Way to Win the Game It Couldn't Afford to Lose SI Feed
  4. Texas' Road Win at Tennessee Changed the Conversation Around The Longhorns SI Feed
  5. Texas Won at Tennessee, But Its Offense Still Has a Lot to Prove SI Feed
  6. Steve Sarkisian Calls Out Media After Texas Longhorns Win Over Tennessee SI Feed
Show 53 more sources
  1. What We Learned About Will Muschamp’s Defense After Texas vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  2. Grade Report: Tennessee vs. Texas Football SI Feed
  3. 3 Overreactions After The Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Vols Game SI Feed
  4. The Most Surprising Thing About Texas' Performance vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  5. Texas Longhorns Offensive Line Struggles Return in Win vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  6. Injury Updates for Texas Longhorns After Win Over Tennessee SI Feed
  7. Texas Longhorns Stock Report: Who Helped and Hurt Themselves vs Tennessee SI Feed
  8. 3 Texas Longhorns That Stood Out in Win vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  9. The Good, Bad and Ugly From Texas Longhorns' Win Over Tennessee SI Feed
  10. 5 Immediate Takeaways After Texas Longhorns Survive vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  11. Arch Manning Underwhelms, Box Score Stats, Highlights, Draft Stock from Texas' Win vs. Tennessee feeds.bleacherreport.com
  12. Tennessee Football Suffers First Loss of the 2026 Season vs. Texas SI Feed
  13. Notable Concerns From Texas Longhorns Are Keeping Tennessee Alive at Halftime SI Feed
  14. College GameDay Predictions for Texas vs. Tennessee Matchup SI Feed
  15. No. 1 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers: Live Game Updates, Box Score SI Feed
  16. Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football picks by proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  17. 3 Bold Predictions for Texas Against Tennessee SI Feed
  18. Live Updates: Tennessee Football vs. Texas SI Feed
  19. Five Things That Will Decide Texas vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  20. Three Questions the Texas Longhorns Must Answer vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  21. Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  22. Keys to Success for Tennessee vs. Texas Football SI Feed
  23. How to Watch: Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns SI Feed
  24. Why Texas Longhorns Are Better Equipped for Their First SEC Road Test SI Feed
  25. David Pollack Predicts Winner of Texas-Tennessee SI Feed
  26. Texas May Have to Play Part of Saturday's Game Differently Because of Unique Circumstances SI Feed
  27. Tennessee Volunteers vs. Texas Longhorns Football Predictions SI Feed
  28. Bold Predictions: Tennessee vs. Texas SI Feed
  29. Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football Saturday picks by proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  30. Tennessee Will Actually Be A Tougher Test For Texas Than Ohio State SI Feed
  31. No. 1 Texas vs. No. 14 Tennessee: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, and More SI Feed
  32. Texas vs. Tennessee prediction, pick, odds, spread: Longhorns face tough road test against Vols CBS Sports Headlines
  33. Texas vs. Tennessee Prediction: Who Wins and Why? SI Feed
  34. 3 Storylines To Watch Out For in Texas vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  35. 3 Matchups That Will Decide Texas’ Week 4 Game Against Tennessee SI Feed
  36. Texas Has a Much Bigger Problem Than Its No. 1 Ranking Heading Into Tennesse SI Feed
  37. Texas vs. Tennessee: Everything to Know About the Longhorns' Week 4 Opponent SI Feed
  38. Five Longhorns Who Could Decide Texas vs. Tennessee SI Feed
  39. 3 Overreactions After Texas Beat UTSA SI Feed
  40. The Most Surprising Thing About Texas Longhorns' Win Over UTSA SI Feed
  41. The Biggest Concern Texas Longhorns Can't Ignore After Defeating UTSA SI Feed
  42. Georgia Not Even Close to Knocking Texas Longhorns Off No. 1 Spot in Top 25 Rankings SI Feed
  43. Three Longhorns Who Stood Out in Win Over UTSA SI Feed
  44. The Good, Bad and Ugly of Texas' Win Against UTSA SI Feed
  45. Texas Longhorns Report Card: Grading Every Position Group vs. UTSA SI Feed
  46. 5 Immediate Takeaways From Texas Longhorns' Sloppy Win Over UTSA SI Feed
  47. Arch Manning Impresses, Final Box Score Stats, Highlights, Draft Stock from Texas' Win over UTSA feeds.bleacherreport.com
  48. No. 1 Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA: Live Updates and Box Score SI Feed
  49. Five Things That Will Decide Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA in Week 3 SI Feed
  50. 3 Bold Predictions for Texas Against UTSA SI Feed
  51. 5 Things That Will Decide Texas vs. UTSA SI Feed
  52. 3 Storylines To Watch Most in Texas Longhorns Week 3 Matchup vs. UTSA SI Feed
  53. 3 Matchups That Will Decide Texas Longhorns Matchup vs UTSA SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi 10+ wins 61% $37 24hends 20 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Texas Yes 30d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? 16% −1 $310 24hends 26 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Texas
  • Tennessee
  • Colin Simmons
  • Steve Sarkisian
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