10+ wins
Implied probability 64%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$51k
Liquidity$51k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Sept, 06:08 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Texas college football team achieves at least 10 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%