Texas
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$655
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves14 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 92% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Texas must hold the top spot in the College Football AP Poll Week 6 Rankings for the 2026-27 season to resolve as Yes. The No outcome applies if Texas does not rank first at that time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked story for the resolution deadline, but the actual cutoff is the release of the Week 6 rankings on October 4, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%