NewsMarkets

Music

Tate McRae Releases Lavish New Video for 'Housewife' Hot: Odds moved 20 points in 24 hours

The pop singer pushes a baby carriage stuffed with cash and gallivants with suitors in the visual.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 16 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Housewife by Tate McRae
0%50%100%13%15 Oct, 03:51 UTCnowRolling Stone: Tate McRae Can’t Be Contained in Lavish New ‘Housewife’ Video · 16 Oct, 03:06 UTCBillboard: Tate McRae Isn’t Your ‘Housewife’ in Stunning New Visual: Watch · 16 Oct, 00:09 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC13%
15 Oct, 03:51 UTC25%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 16 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 16 October at 00:09 UTC; Rolling Stone followed 2h 57m later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 16 October at 03:06 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Billboard, Rolling Stone.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Housewife by Tate McRae — the market puts it at 13%, with $200 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tate McRae's song "Housewife" reaches the number one spot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not hold that top position during that specific week. Readers often mistake the release date of the music video as the relevant deadline instead of the official chart reporting period.
  • Rank 1 to 2 — the market puts it at 19%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tate McRae's song "Housewife" ranks between No. 1 and No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 31, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release date of the music video for the relevant chart date.
  • Tate McRae — the market puts it at 89%, closing 26 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tate McRae has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not meet this requirement by that date. Readers often mistake the release date of her new video for the deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Tate McRae Can’t Be Contained in Lavish New ‘Housewife’ Video Rolling Stone
  2. Tate McRae Isn’t Your ‘Housewife’ in Stunning New Visual: Watch Billboard

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Housewife by Tate McRae 13% −9 $200 24hends 26 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Rank 1 to 2 19% −20 $6k 24hends 26 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Tate McRae 89% $0 24hends 26 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Tate McRae
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.