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Housewife by Tate McRae

Implied probability 13%−9
24-hour volume$200
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolves26 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −12 points at 04:01 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Tate McRae Can’t Be Contained in Lavish New ‘Housewife’ Video — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Housewife by Tate McRae
0%50%100%13%15 Oct, 03:51 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC13%
15 Oct, 03:51 UTC25%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Tate McRae's song "Housewife" reaches the number one spot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not hold that top position during that specific week. Readers often mistake the release date of the music video as the relevant deadline instead of the official chart reporting period.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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