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Tarik Skubal Enters MLB Free Agency After Dodgers' Playoff Exit Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours

The two-time Cy Young winner hits the market this offseason amid uncertainty surrounding looming CBA negotiations.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 16 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Tarik Skubal
0%50%100%1%15 Oct, 11:16 UTCnowfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Predicting the 10 Biggest Contracts Handed Out to 2026-27 MLB Free Agents · 16 Oct, 11:00 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Ranking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency · 16 Oct, 11:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: What Tarik Skubal said about his pending free agency after Dodgers' playoff elimination · 16 Oct, 04:29 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
15 Oct, 11:16 UTC1%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 16 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 16 October at 04:29 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 6h 31m later. The most recent article, from feeds.bleacherreport.com, appeared on 16 October at 11:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Tarik Skubal — the market puts it at 1%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tarik Skubal wins the American League Cy Young Award during the 2026 baseball season. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the award must be won before the season ends rather than after it concludes.
  • New York M — the market puts it at 20%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Mar 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Tarik Skubal signs with the New York Mets before March 25, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline for when he enters free agency rather than the signing date.
  • Tarik Skubal — the market puts it at 4%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tarik Skubal has the most pitching strikeouts during the 2026 MLB postseason. The outcome is No if he does not lead all pitchers in this category. Readers often mistake the regular season stats for the deciding factor, but only postseason performance counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Tarik Skubal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. CBS Sports HeadlinesWhat Tarik Skubal said about his pending free agency after Dodgers' playoff elimination1%
  2. feeds.bleacherreport.comPredicting the 10 Biggest Contracts Handed Out to 2026-27 MLB Free Agents1%
  3. feeds.bleacherreport.comRanking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency1%
  4. Current odds1%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Predicting the 10 Biggest Contracts Handed Out to 2026-27 MLB Free Agents feeds.bleacherreport.com
  2. Ranking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency feeds.bleacherreport.com
  3. What Tarik Skubal said about his pending free agency after Dodgers' playoff elimination CBS Sports Headlines

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Tarik Skubal 1% $0 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi New York M 20% −10 $12 24hends 25 Mar 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Tarik Skubal 4% $0 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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