New York M
Why it moved: −10 points at 11:44 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Ranking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 16 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Tarik Skubal signs with the New York Mets before March 25, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline for when he enters free agency rather than the signing date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%