Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tops Domestic Box Office Chart, Overtaking Star Wars

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 16 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 16 September at 14:49 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 16 September at 22:08 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, Times of India.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026.
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — the market puts it at 64%, with $12k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027.
• Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $216 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026 according to Box Office Mojo. The No outcome applies if any other film earns more during that same period. Readers often mistake the total worldwide gross or earnings from outside 2026 as relevant, but only the domestic calendar year 2026 data counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.