Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Implied probability 9%+3
24-hour volume$73k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$43k
Resolves8 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026 according to Box Office Mojo. The No outcome applies if any other film earns more during that same period. Readers often mistake the total worldwide gross or earnings from outside 2026 as relevant, but only the domestic calendar year 2026 data counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%