SpaceX Calls for Better Orbital Coordination After Starlink Near-Misses
The company proposes ephemeris sharing to prevent dangerous close approaches between its satellites.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 5 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 96% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 7 Oct 2026. www.theregister.com published first, on 7 October at 16:29 UTC; Ars Technica followed 29h 09m later. The most recent article, from Ars Technica, appeared on 8 October at 21:37 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Ars Technica (major outlet), www.theregister.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Starlink — the market puts it at 96%, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a SpaceX representative mentions Starlink during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but only statements made during the specific earnings call count.
- 3 — the market puts it at 5%, with $684 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if exactly three Starship launches reach space in 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of launches. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on a specific date rather than the full calendar year.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Starlink 96%
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- Kalshi 3 5% −1
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