World No 1 Jannik Sinner withdraws from China Open due to knee injury
The Italian tennis player continues his recovery from a knee injury that forced him to miss the US Open, delaying his return to competition.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 07:07 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 40% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 40% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 40% |
| 26 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 18:49 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 15:18 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 11:09 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 08:16 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 07:54 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 06:37 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 21:36 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Sept, 14:14 UTC | 47% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 21 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 21 September at 15:17 UTC; SI Feed followed 46h 41m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 25 September at 14:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India, SI Feed, BBC Sport, SkySports.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings — the market puts it at 34%, with $248 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Jannik Sinner finishes as World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings published by the ATP Tour. The No outcome applies if any other player holds that top spot according to those same official rankings.
- Jannik Sinner — the market puts it at 30%, with $259 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the PIF ATP singles rankings on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of IndiaWhy world No.1 Sinner cannot afford to skip the Asian swing despite his injury—
- SI FeedJannik Sinner Injury Update: The Latest on His Path Back to the Tour47%
- BBC SportAlcaraz on late finishes, missing Sinner and Laver Cup return53%▲6 points since the previous source
- SI FeedJannik Sinner Set To Make ATP Return at China Open44%▼9 points since the previous source
- SkySportsSinner absence goes on as world No 1 withdraws from China Open39%▼5 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraJannik Sinner withdraws from China Open as recovery from injury continues39%
- SI FeedJannik Sinner Withdraws from China Open39%
- Current odds34%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Jannik Sinner withdraws from China Open as recovery from injury continues Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Jannik Sinner Withdraws from China Open SI Feed
- Sinner absence goes on as world No 1 withdraws from China Open SkySports
- Jannik Sinner Set To Make ATP Return at China Open SI Feed
- Alcaraz on late finishes, missing Sinner and Laver Cup return BBC Sport
- Jannik Sinner Injury Update: The Latest on His Path Back to the Tour SI Feed
- Why world No.1 Sinner cannot afford to skip the Asian swing despite his injury Times of India
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings 34% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jannik Sinner 30% −12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jannik Sinner
- China Open
- US Open