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Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Implied probability 50%+1
24-hour volume$805
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$869
Resolves15 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 14:15 UTC, after SI Feed: Jannik Sinner Injury Update: The Latest on His Path Back to the Tour — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings
0%50%100%50%22 Sept, 14:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now50%
23 Sept, 14:54 UTC50%
23 Sept, 14:15 UTC51%
22 Sept, 14:14 UTC47%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Jannik Sinner finishes as World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings published by the ATP Tour. The No outcome applies if any other player holds that top spot according to those same official rankings.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%

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