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Jannik Sinner

Implied probability 48%−4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves31 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 14:15 UTC, after SI Feed: Jannik Sinner Injury Update: The Latest on His Path Back to the Tour — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Jannik Sinner
0%50%100%48%22 Sept, 13:12 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now48%
23 Sept, 14:15 UTC48%
22 Sept, 13:12 UTC52%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the PIF ATP singles rankings on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 48%
  • No 52%

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