Singapore Inflation and Retrenchment Rates Hit Multi-Year Highs
Core inflation rose for a third month while retrenchments reached their highest level since the pandemic, signaling economic pressure.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 53% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 21 Sept 2026. Asia - South China Morning Post published first, on 21 September at 06:10 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 46h 50m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 23 September at 05:01 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Asia - South China Morning Post.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? — the market puts it at 33%, with $376 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if China's annual inflation rate for the twelve months ending in December 2026 falls between 0.6% and 1.0%. The No outcome applies if that rate is outside this range. Readers often mistake the linked story about Singapore for relevant data, but resolution depends solely on the official Chinese National Bureau of Statistics report released in January 2027.
- Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? — the market puts it at 35%, closing 21 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Statistics South Africa reports annual consumer price inflation between 4.4% and 4.7% for the twelve months ending in December 2026. The No outcome applies if that specific figure falls outside that range or if no data is released by the deadline, in which case the last available month's data determines the result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? 33% +10
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- Polymarket Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? 35%
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Wrong market?
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In this story
- Singapore
- South China Morning Post